As the Ukraines population dwindles, a natural sorting-out is taking place. Join over 20k audio creators and earn $$. What is your best guesstimate of what will happen in the short-to-medium term future? Dmitry Orlov of the Washington Capitals skates with the puck against the San Jose Sharks during the second period of a game at Capital One Arena Feb. 12, 2023, in Washington, D.C. (Scott Taetsch . The views expressed are solely those of the authors and may or may not reflect those of The Saker Blog. Moved to Melbourne 2 years ago to try and find paid work once youre over 50 Its bloody tough. President, Im not saying we wouldnt get our hair mussed, but I do say no more than 10 to 20 million killed, tops! Referring to Dmitry Orlov has shone for Boston since being moved there, scoring eight points in four games TBD: New York Rangers A controversial choice, for sure, but this requires some explanation. At age 14 he moved with his family to the Ukrainian mining town of Yuzovka, where he apprenticed as a metalworker and performed other odd jobs. To save face, they have declared their defeat the result of a Russian invasion but have been unable to present any evidence of it. Thus, there is an objective reason to prefer Zelensky over Poroshenko, which is that Poroshenko is a major thief while Zelensky isnt one yet, but it must be understood that this difference will begin to equalize the moment after Zelenskys inauguration. Sam: Have your views become somewhat darker since you published The Five Stages of Collapse a few years ago? . The inevitable result was that most of the other Soviet republics were able to suck resources out of Russia, making them far more prosperous than Russia itself. Time alone will tell. Browse for Dmoney Martinez interviews, guest appearances, and call-ins. The applicability of the concept of collapse is predicated on the existence of an intact, stand-alone entity capable of collapse, and with the Ukraine this is definitely not the case. animal, thereby indirectly referring to the arctic fox, Vulpes Show your support by disabling ad-block (How), Buy AD-FREE ACCESS here, for only $19 / yr. Disabling adblock for a specific site just takes a couple of clicks. The Arctic Fox: The Dynamics between Russia and America By Michael Welch and Dmitry Orlov, June 11, 2021 . Or continue to worship your Pope and believe in idiotic stories like Fatima and see how well that all ends up. Something went wrong Is your network connection unstable or browser outdated? Lather, rinse, repeat. He has a BS in Computer Engineering and an MA in Applied Linguistics. But the fact that the people living there have to put up with constant shelling does not make life a veryenticing prospect. An Android App has been developed by one of our supporters. Had the Russians invaded, the result would have been a replay of Russias action in Georgia in August of 2008, which lasted about a week. For example, they do not buy Russian natural gas directly but through intermediaries in the EU and at a mark-up (part of which they pocket). And women were emancipated for the first time in Chinese history. related to the pelvis and its varied functions) is a most intimate My wife and I live in the countryside with our pets, homegrown (and hunted) food and alcohol. Make snippets of Dmytro talking to create audio highlights to share with your friends or embed in related blog posts. Book 1, the Old Guard moves south to Sevastopol and begins the groundwork for the defense of that city for the coming troubles. God bless you for the kindly description of (what once were?) Orlov played on the right side of the third pairing with Derek Forbort. Thats interesting.I think someone has changed the Wikipedia page. Never The Last One https://saker.community/product/never-the-last-one-a-novel-by-r-h-auslander-pdf-ed/ A deep look in to Russia, her culture and her Armed Forces, in essence a look at the emergence of Russian Federation. ).I thoroughly enjoy. But nothing has really happened yet. But the US is no longer able to maintain control, because it is internally conflicted to the point of becoming incoherent in its pronouncements. Unimaginable that Russia will rebuild that. In spite of this confused linguistic situation, Ukrainian was imposed as the language of instruction throughout the country. Will they be fooled by the Wests propaganda? BUT, would NATO launch an attack against Russia if they could completely destroy Russia and only have 50% of their cities destroyed? I am curious if there is a real and tangible desire growing amidst the populations living in these regions to break relations with Kiev, in contrast to the prevailing sense of apathy that Ive read about over the last few years. I fear that in the new liberalist oligarchic Russia they have managers (generally trained in very expensive western universities/think thank) but not statesmen and overall statesmen with an original strategic view for a national independent interest like the old USSR had. This to remark that the big decisions must not rely entirely on the rational part, because it is too prone to make mistakes. Never again, he says, will Russia suffer the losses of the last war by fighting on its own territory. If I do, I will have to thank the Americans for messing up the place. Hes been predicting collapse for some time and it has not occurred or come close to happening. He was born in Leningrad (now Saint Petersburg), but emigrated to the United States for a while and then returned to Russia. Not a damned thing you can do, its all a done deal. The power of sincerity? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hooded_crow But since you want to That was common secret and we from those countries agree that they were robbed by Russia and their Jewish partners. They are both entitled Duped. The planetary food chain (global ecology) is like any other chain: start removing links and the chain disintegrates and fails very rapidly. It manufactured numerous high-tech products such as jet aircraft, marine diesels, helicopter engines, rocket engines and much else that was the best in the world. The question is: who is going to be included and who isnt? In the meantime, it has become abundantly clear that neither EU nor NATO membership is the least bit likely, or necessary: the EU got everything it wanted from the Ukraine by forcing it to sign the Association Agreement while giving nothing of value in return; and Ukrainian territory already serves as a playground for NATO training exercises. I find it a comfort to see the similarities in conclusions even though the assumptions people have are different. From what little I have seen of the people east of the Dneipr (from guys like Graham Phillips and Patrick Lancaster), they seem like the sort of folks who could do quite a lot of rebuilding themselves. It will be interesting to see how public and government workers, as a group, react to the realization that the retirements they have been promised no longer exist; perhaps that will tip the entire system into a defunct state. By the way, also, Dmitry Orlov mentions how the Muscovite Russian realm inherited the traditions of the Mongolian Empire,but unfortunately Ivan IV Vasilyevich [the terrible] chose to imitate the very worst practices of the Mongols in wartime but the peacetime administration of the [not yet Muslim] Mongolians notable for its overall toleration of religions, ethnicities, languages, and being all in all rather enlightened,was not imitated. likely to hear is something more along the lines of Holy shit, we There were significant setbacks to this process as well: in the 1940s a group of communist leaders from Leningrad attempted to promote Russian interests through regional cooperation. The Russian leaders who went through WW2 had a vision and experience which you cant buy and this saved the world many times over. The Saker: How would you assess the current situation in the Ukraine in terms of social, economic and political collapse? The Saker: Where is, in your opinion, the Ukraine heading? the advent of the arctic fox but will, with any luck, be reborn into By that all of them hate Russians to the point of blindness. What mattered was his loyalty and his political debts. The other European people havent even been asked whether they wanyted to accept the rules of the EU. Thanks to both Saker and Dmitry. I think Ukraine is a society that cannot mobilize itself to address its problems. Scott, also. Hes talking about the Russia we know, and the US we know. However, theoretically anything is possible. The mental climate in the US is already sick enough; why should we want to make it even sicker? I do not doubt this or that the West will recognise this election. It saddens me to think that so much has been lost or neglected over the years. Not bad for a Pole, mind you: Zbigs Grand Chessboard was published way back in 1997. At the center is the Russia is already receiving a lot of displaced Russians, plus tons of Russians in Ukraine who became the source of cheap labor for Russian companies. Putin Is Right, Liberalism Is Dead, So What Will Replace It? The political chattering class(es) will soon be caught out for the demonic, vacuous, ignorant fools they are, all over the world. The hubris of the exceptional nation never before having their mainland attacked will make them think they can prevail under any circumstance. It is one thing for such thoughts to be expressed by a little-known blogger; it is quite another for them to be voiced by the long-standing leader of a world superpower at a very prestigious and well-attended international forum. The crisis is approaching at a much faster rate than many have anticipated. Shiny globo-homo eyes having Europe in their heart. Dmitry Orlov: The Ukraine has never been viable as an independent, sovereign state and so its ongoing disintegration is to be expected. Their idea is to get their cut and flee the country before the whole thing blows up. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thomas_S._Power. I remember discussing service in the military with my Norwegian friend, and I am going to quote him here young soldiers have very limited time to live. In spite of concerted politically motivated efforts by Ukrainian leaders to sever these links, many of them have stubbornly remained in place, for lack of alternatives. Its day to day institutions, such as courts, post offices and the like function better now than they did in the 80s or 90s. The Ukraine is rather highly militarized, is awash with weapons, full of people who have been circulated through the frontlines in Donbas and know how to fight, and they may decide to put up a fight at some point. This unique phenomenon continues to be a joy to witness. If we drop the conceit that the Ukraine is a country that can be viable if separated from Russia, what can we say about its chances as part of a Greater Russia? Feb 27, 2023 at 11:48 pm ET 1 min read. None of this matters, because we dont know which of the two is the US State Departments pick. The fact that his detractors have to resort to crude and, frankly, stupid ad hominems further convinces me that Dmitrys views need to be widely shared. Even if the Western Elites wanted to which they dont they cant keep up the Wests living standards when imperialism are facing mounting resistance from without. arctic fox or, if you want to be coy and use a euphemism, you can The plural of ethnos is (ethne), not ethnoi, as the Greek word is (gender-)neutral rather than masculine. Frim Pyongyang to Kiev with love. Whats the point of guesswork? Even the expert (and he is very well known) author of the book I was working on mentioned this. He like to play with toy soldiers (literally). https://mundanomaniac.blogspot.com/2019/04/what-mach-wanted-although-it-could-not.html. frightening substances and singing battle hymns. If Catherine was a whore because she liked men and like to dancewell, we should then all be such Russian whores. The US was always the way Orlov describes its future. Fortunately Russia recovered Crimea, and the mining/industrial regions are disputed, but the Khazarians control 2 critical assets: the other coastal oblasts and the chernozem soils. (?) History shows that the genie is out of the bottle and will be used at some point in time. Despite the fact that Catherine had been his only real friend during his troubled teenagerdom. For Ukraine, a very bad future. The fact is bad apples in the police kill people carelessly and heedless very often and there is no recourse because communities have no review over the actions of the police. Instead, what has occurred is several decades of thievery, stagnation and decay. The video of the interview with Orlov, in Russian, can be found here. He is very smart and he knows what he writing about this is my opinion of the man. that there are no atheists to be found aboard a foundering ship but a Churchill, for all his drug stupor and moral depravity, did know some truths after all. JOIN THE CONVERSATION. However, dont sell the American people, the real American people, short. Alex Jones on the New World Order and the Great Reset, Astrid Stuckelberger on the purpose of the World Health Organisation, Kees Van Der Pijl on why Russia wont lose in Ukraine, Aleksandr Dugin on the Fourth Political Theory. Fortunately, for the entire world, President Putin has shown himself to be an extraordinarily principled leader, full of restraint and guided by high humanist and spiritual beliefs. 2007-present. Ditto for numerous other biological life forms. Instead of functioning as a wealth pump that pumped wealth from the periphery to the imperial center, it functioned as a revolutionary incubator, exploiting the resources of the core (Russia) and exporting them to the periphery to build socialism, with the further goal of fomenting global communist revolution. Dmitry Orlov showcases his value to Bruins in defensive baptism by fire against Oilers Orlov spent most of his reps on Monday night matching up against Connor McDavid. She expanded the empire and built many of the beautiful buildings that today are signatures of Russias Golden Age. Clearly China doesnt fit into Orlovs idea of an empire as a wealth pump that sucks from the periphery to enrich the centerthis is true of course of exploitation-based imperial projects such as western colonialismbut is clearly not applicable to the Chinese model, which has been both the biggest and most durable empire in human historyso that is a big hole in Orlovs theory, It is true that the USSR was a fundamentally different kind of empire from the exploitative western colonialismand it is also true that it ultimately did not succeedalthough it managed to accomplish almost incomprehensible progress in modernization, science and technologyand industrializationthe foundations of Russian strength today rest squarely on the foundations put in place during the Stalin era, Elsewhere on this site there is a brilliant series of essays by Ramin Mazaheri about the tumultuous cultural revolution of the 1960sand why it was necessaryRussia also needed a cultural revolution around this timethe system needed to be rejigged to better serve the peoplein living standardfairness and justiceopportunity for social advanceetc, But it never happenedinstead the system became more sclerotic than everand the welfare of the people stagnatedat the very moment in time when the capitalist west, especially the United States, was able to reign in the appetites of its parasite class and provide the people with a decent share of its [largely ill-gotten, by means of global finance colonialism] gains[during the postwar decades, the share of national wealth of the 0.1 percent fell to an all time low of about 7 percentabout a quarter of historic, and current levels], This was the golden age in the USwell paying jobs in industry were plentiful and the company president made perhaps ten times what the shop floor worker took homea second household income was completely unnecessaryuniversity education at state colleges was practically free, The life of the Soviet citizen in the1960s was not too far behindStalins five year plans in the1930s had created an industrial powerhouseit was Russias ability to produce that allowed it to prevail over Germany in the existential warand despite the devastation of the people, cities and countryside Russia was able to quickly become a technological superpoweras an aerospace engineer I have a deep appreciation of the depth and breadth of Russian technical achievements and the basic scientific advances that made that possiblethe US was laughably left in the dust, despite having skimmed the cream of Nazi Germanys technical scientific talentand contrary to what US propaganda would have the people believe, China in the postwar era was starting from scratchmillions were in danger of starving, and many didthere was no industry nor infrastructure to speak ofMaos great leap forward lifted several hundred million souls out of the very real possibility of perishingthe foundations of industry, some of which were already in place thanks to Russian help were systematically builtcompared to Russia and the US China started from 100 years backalthough its worth noting that 200 years ago China was the worlds biggest and most prosperous economy by far, So these are the broad historical strokes of the 20th centuryits useless to talk about empires as some kind of pumps without first understanding these basic dynamicsthe simple fact is that China has done everything right in the last 70 yearswhile Russia did great [and smart] things under Stalin and the momentum of those accomplishments managed to carry over for a couple of more decades, before the system crumbled, due to lack of renewal, Chinas communist party again showed its dexterity by making yet another renewal in the1980sallowing a limited and pragmatic capitalism to carve out a niche for itself and help millions to achieve prosperitymuch is made in the ridiculous western press about Chinas billionaires, but hundreds of millions of peasants and street level business people making a better life for themselves is where the real story lies, Of course the massive Chinese empire has been adapting like this for centuries, if not millenniaRussia with the Soviet Union only needed to make similar smart adjustmentsinstead they threw out the baby with the bathwaterlets see where Russia goes from here, but with people like Siluanov and Nabiullina in charge of the nations money, I am not optimistic.
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